Assessment of Fit of the Time-Varying Dynamic Partial Credit Model Usingthe Posterior Predictive Model Checking Method

Several new models based on item response theory have recently been suggested to analyze intensive longitudinal data. One of these new models is the time-varying dynamic partial credit model (TV-DPCM; Castro-Alvarez et al., 2023), which is a combination of the partial credit model and the time-varying autoregressive model. The model allows the study of the psychometric properties of the items and the modeling of nonlinear trends at the latent state level. However, there is a severe lack of tools to assess the fit of the TV-DPCM. In this paper, we propose and develop several test statistics and discrepancy measures based on the posterior predictive model checking method (PPMC; Rubin, 1984) to assess the fit of the TV-DPCM. Simulated and empirical data are used to study the performance of and illustrate the effectiveness of the PPMC method.

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